Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-15 0.000549 0.000634 0.000725 0.000829 0.000944 0.001067 0.001208
2025-06-22 0.000415 0.000531 0.000664 0.000826 0.001018 0.001235 0.001498
2025-06-29 0.000340 0.000467 0.000620 0.000816 0.001056 0.001339 0.001692
2025-07-06 0.000281 0.000412 0.000579 0.000800 0.001081 0.001423 0.001862
2025-07-13 0.000249 0.000387 0.000569 0.000819 0.001146 0.001552 0.002086
2025-07-20 0.000222 0.000363 0.000557 0.000832 0.001200 0.001668 0.002295
2025-07-27 0.000191 0.000332 0.000531 0.000822 0.001223 0.001743 0.002452
2025-08-03 0.000164 0.000301 0.000503 0.000806 0.001235 0.001801 0.002587
2025-08-10 0.000148 0.000285 0.000494 0.000816 0.001280 0.001903 0.002781
2025-08-17 0.000132 0.000268 0.000481 0.000818 0.001313 0.001989 0.002954
2025-08-24 0.000112 0.000240 0.000450 0.000791 0.001303 0.002015 0.003046
2025-08-31 0.000095 0.000216 0.000422 0.000766 0.001293 0.002040 0.003135
2025-09-07 0.000084 0.000202 0.000409 0.000763 0.001318 0.002114 0.003296
2025-09-14 0.000074 0.000189 0.000397 0.000762 0.001344 0.002190 0.003461
2025-09-21 0.000065 0.000175 0.000381 0.000752 0.001355 0.002245 0.003597
2025-09-28 0.000056 0.000160 0.000363 0.000737 0.001357 0.002285 0.003712
2025-10-05 0.000052 0.000156 0.000364 0.000755 0.001412 0.002404 0.003942
2025-10-12 0.000048 0.000150 0.000362 0.000767 0.001456 0.002509 0.004154
2025-10-19 0.000042 0.000140 0.000349 0.000758 0.001467 0.002563 0.004291
2025-10-26 0.000036 0.000128 0.000333 0.000743 0.001466 0.002598 0.004402
2025-11-02 0.000033 0.000123 0.000330 0.000752 0.001505 0.002696 0.004607
2025-11-09 0.000029 0.000117 0.000323 0.000754 0.001532 0.002775 0.004783
2025-11-16 0.000024 0.000105 0.000303 0.000728 0.001511 0.002777 0.004845